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Clinical and Experimental Immunology

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Clinical and Experimental Immunology's content profile, based on 12 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.00% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Genome-Wide DNA Methylation Profiling in Critically Ill Patients with Sepsis: A Pooled Epigenome-Wide Association Study Using the Infinium Methylation EPIC v2.0 Array

Bonavia, A. S.; Janicki, P.

2026-06-01 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354469 medRxiv
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Objective: To characterize genome-wide DNA methylation patterns associated with sepsis using the Infinium Methylation EPIC v2.0 platform and to evaluate the feasibility of pooled methylation profiling in a pilot critical care cohort. Design: Single-center pilot epigenome-wide association study using pooled whole-blood genomic DNA and pool-level bioinformatic analysis. Setting: Academic medical center. Patients: Fifty critically ill adults enrolled within 48 hours of illness onset and 20 healthy controls. Interventions: None. Measurements and Main Results: Critically ill patients required mechanical ventilation and/or vasopressor support. Sepsis was defined according to Sepsis-3 criteria. Seventy individual samples were organized into 14 intended pools of 5 individuals each: 7 sepsis pools, 3 critically ill non-septic pools, and 4 healthy-control pools. One critically ill non-septic pool was excluded because of poor DNA quality, yielding 13 analyzable pools. For the primary pooled comparison, 7 sepsis pools were compared with 6 non-sepsis comparator pools comprising 2 critically ill non-septic and 4 healthy-control pools. After quality control and preprocessing with SeSAMe, 876,094 CpG sites were retained. The initial pool-level screen identified 170,897 candidate differentially methylated regions. Application of stringent secondary filters (false discovery rate <= 1%, absolute delta-beta >= 7.5%, and >= 5 CpGs per region) yielded a high-confidence subset with marked directional skewing, including 155 hypomethylated and 32 hypermethylated regions in sepsis. Differentially methylated region-associated genes were enriched in myeloid leukocyte activation, myeloid leukocyte-mediated immunity, defense response to bacterium, neutrophil granule biology, and hematopoietic cell lineage pathways. Additional signals involved microRNA-associated targets, ribosome biogenesis, RNA processing, long noncoding RNAs, and previously uncharacterized loci. Conclusions: In this pilot pooled EPIC v2.0 study, sepsis was associated with a biologically coherent, predominantly hypomethylated methylation signature enriched in myeloid and host-defense pathways. These findings support the feasibility of pooled methylation profiling for discovery-oriented sepsis biobank studies but should be interpreted as hypothesis-generating given the pool-level design, limited effective sample size, heterogeneous comparator group, and lack of direct validation against individual-level methylation profiles.

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Monocytic myeloid-derived suppressor cells, but not regulatory T cells, track immunoregulatory dynamics and relapse recovery in early RRMS

Calahorra, L.; Machin-Diaz, I.; Alonso-Garcia, I.; Garcia-Dominguez, J. M.; Perez-Molina, I.; Lebron-Galan, R.; Vila-del Sol, V.; Goicoechea-Briceno, H.; Garcia-Arocha, J.; Garcia-Montero, R.; Galan, V.; Martin-Avila, G.; Cabanas-Cotillas, M.; Ortega, M. C.; Camacho-Toledano, C.; Serrano-Regal, M. P.; Aladro, Y.; Martinez-Gines, M. L.; Clemente, D.

2026-05-26 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354018 medRxiv
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Introduction: Incomplete recovery from relapses contributes to long-term disability accumulation in relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), yet the relationship between immune regulation and relapse recovery remains poorly defined. Objective: To longitudinally characterize regulatory/effector immune cell dynamics in untreated RRMS patients and assess their association with immune balance and relapse recovery. Methods: Monocytic myeloid-derived suppressor cells (M MDSCs), regulatory T cells (Treg), and effector CD4 T cell subsets were measured in blood from 69 untreated RRMS patients sampled during relapse or remission and reevaluated after 12 months. Associations with clinical recovery after relapse were examined. Results: During relapse, patients exhibited higher M MDSC and Treg frequencies than in remission, while effector T cell subsets remained unchanged. Over one year, M-MDSCs increased consistently regardless of baseline clinical status, whereas Treg frequencies remained stable. Effector to M MDSC ratios were markedly elevated during relapse and declined over time, while effector-to-Treg ratios showed minimal variation. M MDSC levels during relapse were associated with sustained regulatory features at 12 month follow up. Importantly, higher baseline M MDSC levels, but not Treg frequencies, were associated with complete relapse recovery at one year. Conclusion: These findings suggest that circulating M-MDSCs, but not Treg, reflect interindividual differences in immune regulation and clinical recovery after relapse in early RRMS.

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Elevated serum apolipoprotein B and lipoprotein remodelling distinguish adults with HLH from HLH mimics and controls

Oppong, A. E.; Louden, K.; HOLLOWAY, A.; ROSSI, L.; McDonnell, T. C. R.; Robinson, G. A.; ARULKUMARAN, N.; Manson, J. J.; Jury, E. C.

2026-05-17 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.05.13.26352642 medRxiv
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Haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) is a rare, life-threatening hyperinflammatory syndrome characterised by uncontrolled immune activation. Reduced high- and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and hypertriglyceridaemia are reported in HLH, suggesting lipid metabolism disturbances although in-depth serum metabolomic analysis is lacking in HLH. Here a lipid-focused NMR spectroscopy platform was used to define the serum metabolomic landscape of adults hospitalised with HLH compared to adults with sepsis (HLH-mimic) and rheumatic disease (potential HLH drivers/triggers), following surgical resection of solid organ cancer (non-infectious acute inflammation controls) and healthy controls (HCs). Serum metabolites distinguished HLH from HCs with high accuracy (>91.36%) using multiple machine learning models. The top classifying features included elevated apolipoprotein-B (ApoB)-containing low, intermediate, and very low-density lipoprotein particles; and lipoprotein remodelling towards triglyceride enrichment and cholesterol depletion. Differentially abundant metabolites in HLH compared to all control groups were enriched in pathways related to lipid metabolism including: 'Lipid particles composition', 'Plasma lipoprotein clearance', 'Plasma lipoprotein remodelling', 'Glucose homeostasis' and 'Amino acid metabolism'. Metabolomic results were validated using matched whole blood RNA-sequencing which identified differentially expressed genes enriched in metabolic modules associated with lipid, amino acid, and glucose metabolism, supporting a coordinated metabolic dysregulation in HLH from a transcriptomic to metabolomic level. Finally, twenty-seven metabolites including ApoB-containing, triglyceride-rich lipoproteins and saturated fatty acids distinguished HLH from all disease controls (AUC>0.70) either alone or combined as a metabolomic signature. Elevated ApoB and ApoB:ApoA1 ratio in HLH vs sepsis and HCs were validated by ELISA, supporting their utility as biomarkers to distinguish HLH from other hyperinflammatory syndromes.

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Sequential application of time-stratified demographic, vital, clinical-laboratory and microbiology variables for accurate and rapid identification of sepsis

Navalkar, K. A.; Garnacho-Montero, J.; Canton-Bulnes, M. L.; Garcia-Garmendia, J. L.; Estella, A.; Fernandez-Galilea, A.; Blanco, I.; Estecha-Foncea, M. A.; Gordillo-Resina, M.; Rodriguez-Gomez, J.; Pineda-Capitan, J. J.; Martinez-Fernandez, C.; Escoresca-Ortega, A.; Amaya-Villar, R.; Mora-Ordonez, J.; Gonzalez-Soto, S.; Gutierrez-Pizarraya, A.; Balk, R.; Miller, R. R.; Burke, J. P.; Patel, G.; Parada, J. P.; Schultz, M. J.; Scicluna, B. P.; Blodget, E.; Kumar, S.; Sampson, D.; Yager, T. D.; Davis, R. F.; Cermelli, S.; Brandon, R. B.

2026-05-29 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354135 medRxiv
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Background: Accurate early identification of sepsis remains a major clinical challenge due to its heterogeneous presentation and overlap of clinical signs with the non-infectious systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS). Timely differentiation is crucial for improving patient outcomes, meeting sepsis bundle requirements and reducing inappropriate antimicrobial use. We hypothesized that clinical and laboratory data available within the first 3 hours of patient presentation could be used to identify patients with sepsis to an actionable level of accuracy, in lieu of traditional microbiology results which would not become available until at least 12-24 hours. Data from two independent studies were used to quantify the diagnostic value of demographic, vital, clinical-laboratory, and microbiological data available at three time points for distinguishing retrospectively diagnosed critically ill patients with either sepsis or non-infectious SIRS. A particular focus of this work was an assessment of the utility of SeptiCyte RAPID (Immunexpress Inc., Seattle, Washington, USA) as an aid to sepsis diagnosis, producing actionable data within 1 hour. Methods: Data from two independent study cohorts were analysed. The 510k cohort consisted of 419 adult patients in intensive care (ICU) (MARS, VENUS, and NEPTUNE trials). The Andalusian cohort consisted of 353 ICU patients from the PANGEA study. Logistic regression models, selected by a greedy search algorithm and validated by repeated cross-validation, were used to determine the contributions of different variables to diagnostic accuracy. Diagnostic performance was quantified by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results: For the 510k cohort, a baseline AUC of 0.69-0.73 was observed using 5-7 vital and demographic variables assessed immediately upon presentation (time T1). The addition of clinical-laboratory variables, in particular SeptiCyte RAPID, within 1-3 hours post-presentation (time T2) increased the AUC to 0.83-0.85). Finally, the addition of microbiological data 12-24 hours post-presentation (time T3) further improved the AUC to 0.90-0.91. Similar results were obtained for the Andalusian cohort. AUC values at the three time points were as follows: At time T1, AUC = 0.67 based solely on vital signs and demographics; at time T2, AUC = 0.87 based on vitals + demographics + SeptiCyte RAPID or other clinical laboratory data; at time T3, AUC = 0.93 based on vitals + demographics + SeptiCyte RAPID or other clinical laboratory data + microbiology results). For both cohorts, the most significant variables included temperature, mean arterial pressure, respiratory rate, suspected infection site; SeptiCyte RAPID, procalcitonin, confirmed bacterial infection and positive blood culture confirmation. Conclusions: Accuracy of identification of sepsis increases markedly as demographics and vital signs are supplemented with clinical-laboratory information, and ultimately with microbiological culture results. The fastest improvement occurs within the first 3 hours when laboratory data, and in particular SeptiCyte RAPID results, become available. Integrating rapid host-response testing with SeptiCyte RAPID into time-based diagnostic frameworks may enhance early sepsis recognition, improve antimicrobial stewardship, and support guideline-driven clinical decisions.

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Ruling In and Ruling Out Sepsis Using Likelihood Ratios of a Host Response Assay

Navalkar, K. A.; Wani, P.; Davis, R. F.; Cermelli, S.; Dietrich, M.; von der Forst, M.; Becker, S. L.; Benthien, S.; Baumann, E.; Zeiner, C.; Lepper, P. M.; Garnacho-Montero, J.; Canton-Bulnes, M. L.; Fernandez-Galilea, A.; Luis Garcia-Garmendia, J. L.; Estella, A.; Miller, R. R.; Schultz, M. J.; Rothman, R.; Burke, J.; Patel, G.; Parada, J.; Yager, T. D.; Brandon, R. B.

2026-06-01 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354374 medRxiv
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Overview: SeptiCyte RAPID is an FDA-cleared gene expression test that quantifies host immune response to aid in the diagnosis of sepsis. The test yields a score (the SeptiScore) ranging from 0-15, distributed across four bands (1-4) based on increased likelihood of sepsis. Each band can be characterized by average positive and negative likelihood ratios (LR+, LR- respectively) for the discrimination of sepsis versus the non-infectious systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS). Methods: A retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from a combined cohort of critically ill patients suspected of sepsis (N=889), recruited across 19 hospitals in the USA and Europe. The analysis quantified the LR+ and LR- parameters as a function of SeptiScore, for discrimination of sepsis vs. SIRS in patients admitted to ICU. Hypotheses: (1) The likelihood ratio (LR) framework provides a clinically useful interpretive approach that complements the previously used SeptiScore banding scheme; (2) Low Band 1 SeptiScores are associated with sufficiently small LR- to support the use of SeptiCyte RAPID as a rule-out test for sepsis; (3) High Band 4 SeptiScores are associated with sufficiently large LR+ to support the use of SeptiCyte RAPID as a rule-in test for sepsis; and (4) SeptiScore-derived LR+ and LR- values can be combined with estimates of pre-test probability (derived from patient characteristics and/or other diagnostic tests) to generate individualized, patient-specific post-test probabilities of sepsis. Results: The SeptiCyte RAPID test demonstrates strong diagnostic performance in distinguishing sepsis from SIRS. The likelihood ratios across different score bands provide clear clinical utility: the median LR+ was 3.26 (range 2.57-4.24) for Band 3, and 6.97 (range 4.35-15.57) for Band 4 providing evidence toward ruling in sepsis at high SeptiScores. Conversely, the median LR- was 0.16 (range 0.14-0.20) for Band 2 and 0.085 (range 0.014-0.16) for Band 1, providing evidence toward ruling out sepsis at low SeptiScores. A higher-resolution analysis of SeptiCyte RAPID performance confirmed these trends by evaluating LR+ and LR- at specific values within each band. The sepsis group was further stratified according to whether patients were classified as blood-culture positive (BC+) or blood culture negative (BC-), and the detailed LR+ and LR- analyses were repeated. A monotonic increase in likelihood ratio with increasing SeptiScore was consistently observed, independent of whether sepsis patients were culture-positive, culture-negative, or unstratified with respect to blood culture status. Conclusion: High SeptiScores have correspondingly high LR+ values, and low SeptiScores have correspondingly low LR- values, both of which may have clinical utility. High likelihood ratios for band 4 SeptiScores, which precede traditional microbiology results, may provide clinicians with early confidence of a sepsis diagnosis and microbiology diagnostic stewardship. Low likelihood ratios for band 1 SeptiScores may prompt clinicians to consider an alternate diagnosis to sepsis. Such results, obtained early in the diagnostic workup process, may lead to fewer missed diagnoses and more efficient use of hospital resources.

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Harmonising APASL and A-TANGO criteria for acute-on-chronic liver failure: identification of complementary high-risk pre-ACLF populations

Verma, N.; Garg, P.; Nair, G. P.; venu, A.; Jarpula, N. S.; Kaur, P.; De, A.; Premkumar, M.; Taneja, S.; Gupta, T.; Valsan, A. K.; Duseja, A.; Jalan, R.

2026-05-24 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353839 medRxiv
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Background & Aims: ACLF is defined differently by APASL (acute hepatic dysfunction) and by organ failure-based frameworks including EASL-CLIF and the recently developed A-TANGO score. Whether these definitions identify competing populations or sequential stages of the same syndrome remains unresolved, with direct implications for the timing of intervention. We tested whether APASL-defined ACLF can be integrated into the A-TANGO framework to identify a clinically actionable patient population. Methods: 4,024 patients hospitalised with acute decompensation of cirrhosis in a multicentre cohort were classified simultaneously by APASL and A-TANGO criteria. Mortality, progression to A-TANGO ACLF among A-TANGO-negative patients, and reversal of ACLF were assessed using Fine-Gray competing-risk models with death as a competing event. EASL-CLIF analyses were performed as sensitivity analyses. Results: A-TANGO-negative/APASL-positive patients comprised 8.7% of the cohort and had higher 90-day mortality than A-TANGO-negative/APASL-negative patients (22.3% vs 14.4%, p=0.001), despite similar 28-day mortality. Once A-TANGO ACLF was established, 28-day mortality was high irrespective of APASL status (45.4% in APASL-positive and 56.0% in APASL-negative patients). Among A-TANGO-negative patients, 53.5% of APASL-positive vs 27.9% of APASL-negative patients progressed to A-TANGO ACLF within 28 days, with APASL positivity independently predicting progression (adjusted sHR: 2.30, 95%CI: 1.90-2.77). Within A-TANGO-negative/APASL-negative patients an A-TANGO OF score [&ge;]8 independently enriched for progression (52% vs 19%). A-TANGO reversal occurred in 17.1% and was independently reduced by APASL positivity (adjusted sHR: 0.756, 95%CI: 0.586-0.975), while APASL reversal was rare (4.0%). EASL-CLIF sensitivity analyses were directionally consistent. Conclusions: APASL-defined ACLF does not compete with A-TANGO; it occupies an upstream position on the same disease trajectory. A-TANGO-negative/APASL-positive patients and A-TANGO-negative/APASL-negative patients with A-TANGO OF [&ge;]8 represent complementary pre-ACLF populations suitable for prevention trials and enrichment strategies.

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Neutrophil subsets in SLE exhibit increased glycolysis that correlates with disease activity

Yennemadi, A. S.; Jordan, N.; Diong, S.; Murphy, F. K.; Quidwai, S.; Little, M.; Keane, J.; Leisching, G.

2026-05-18 immunology 10.64898/2026.05.14.725124 medRxiv
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Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a chronic autoimmune disease characterised by sustained type I interferon signalling and widespread immune dysregulation. Low-density neutrophils (LDNs) are expanded in SLE and display pro-inflammatory and tissue-damaging properties. However, their metabolic phenotype remains poorly defined. Here, we performed a comprehensive metabolic characterisation of circulating LDNs and normal-density neutrophils (NDNs) from patients with SLE and matched healthy individuals (HC). Neutrophil subsets were isolated from peripheral blood of SLE patients and HC donors using a two-step protocol of negative selection and Percoll density centrifugation. Immunophenotyping phenotype was carried out by flow cytometry to assess phenotypic expression of common neutrophil markers CD15, CD16, CD10, CD66b, CD62L, MPO, and IL-1{beta}. Bioenergetic profiling of LDNs and NDNs was performed in situ using the Seahorse MitoStress test to measure oxygen consumption rate (OCR) and extracellular acidification rate (ECAR). Metabolic flexibility and phenotypic alterations were assessed in LDNs and NDNs following inhibiting mitochondrial metabolism with oligomycin and glycolysis with 2DG. We found that SLE LDNs exhibit an immature phenotype compared with autologous and healthy NDNs, as determined transcriptionally by C/EBP{varepsilon} and by surface protein expression levels of CD10. Both LDNs and NDNs from SLEDAI[&ge;]4 patients demonstrated significantly elevated ECAR relative to HC neutrophils. Further, SLE LDNs displayed enhanced metabolic flexibility, with the capacity to switch towards a glycolytic phenotype under metabolic stress conditions. Inhibition of glycolysis altered the inflammatory and maturation-associated phenotype of both SLE neutrophil subsets, indicating a direct link between cellular metabolism and pathogenic neutrophil function. Collectively, these findings identify fundamental metabolic alterations in SLE neutrophil subsets and support neutrophil immunometabolism as a potential therapeutic target in SLE.

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Downregulated Interferon Signalling In T Cells Is Associated With Response To Vedolizumab In Inflammatory Bowel Disease

El Hajj, Y.; Slater, R.; Probert, C.; Tang, G.; Abreu, M. T.; Mishra, N.; Haglund, S.; Schreiber, S.; Hegazy, A. N.; Almer, S.; Rosenstiel, P.; Lyons, P. A.; Subramanian, S.

2026-05-13 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.05.11.26352882 medRxiv
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BackgroundVedolizumab, a gut-selective anti-integrin therapy, is effective in IBD, but response rates remain variable. Conventional clinical and biochemical markers, including C-reactive protein and faecal calprotectin, have limited predictive value. Although recent transcriptomic studies have implicated T-cell-related signatures in predicting vedolizumab response, these findings lack validation across independent cohorts. MethodsWe analyzed pre-treatment transcriptomic profiles from whole blood and T-cell subsets across five independent cohorts comprising 100 patients with UC and CD. The primary outcome was clinical response. Secondary outcomes included clinical and biochemical remission. ResultsAmong the 100 patients, 61 were responders and 39 non-responders, with no significant baseline clinical differences. Gene set enrichment analyses revealed downregulation of interferon alpha and gamma signalling in responders baseline blood samples, a finding validated across independent cohorts. Downregulated interferon signalling at baseline was also observed in patients who achieved clinical and biochemical remission. To build a predictive model, an adaptive elastic net logistic regression model was applied to baseline whole-blood RNA-sequencing data. The classifier achieved an AUC of 1.0 in training, 0.71-0.83 in UC validation cohorts, and 0.64-1.0 in CD cohorts. Reduced interferon signalling was observed across CD4{square} and CD8{square} T-cell subsets, including regulatory T cells, suggesting a broad immune signature rather than cell-type specificity. ConclusionsDownregulated interferon signalling in peripheral blood prior to treatment is a reproducible molecular signature predictive of vedolizumab response and biochemical remission. Whole-blood transcriptomics revealed a robust interferon-axis signal that predicted vedolizumab response across independent cohorts, with stronger performance in UC than CD. Given heterogeneous clinical endpoints and assessment windows, these data provide proof-of-concept that warrants validation with standardised, endoscopy-based outcomes.

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Circulating miR-1285-3p promotes age-associated B cell differentiation through the OXPHOS-IKZF2 axis in SLE

Akao, S.; Asashima, H.; Inokuchi, H.; Abe, T.; Khan, M. M.; Uematsu, N.; Miki, H.; Nishiyama, T.; Ohyama, A.; Kondo, Y.; Tsuboi, H.; Ota, M.; Kekalainen, E.; Ishigaki, K.; Fujio, K.; Matsumoto, I.

2026-05-18 immunology 10.64898/2026.05.14.725263 medRxiv
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Age-associated B cells (ABCs) expand in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and contribute to pathogenic humoral immunity, but the mechanisms that restrain their differentiation remain unclear. Here, we identify the transcription factor IKZF2 (Helios) as a regulator that limits ABC differentiation. Transcriptomic and functional analyses showed that suppression of oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS) in B cells promoted ABC differentiation and was accompanied by reduced IKZF2 expression. Pharmacologic modulation of mitochondrial metabolism further demonstrated that OXPHOS inhibition promoted, whereas OXPHOS activation restrained, ABC differentiation. Integrative analyses revealed reduced IKZF2 expression in selected B cell subsets from patients with SLE. Functional suppression of IKZF2 enhanced ABC differentiation and attenuated the inhibitory effects of OXPHOS activation, indicating that IKZF2 mediates metabolic control of B cell fate. Mechanistically, IKZF2 restrained early ABC-associated gene programs, including ITGAX and TBX21. Circulating miR-1285-3p in small extracellular vesicles, elevated in SLE, suppressed OXPHOS and recapitulated these effects. Together, these findings identify an OXPHOS-IKZF2 axis that restrains pathogenic B cell differentiation and links extracellular microRNA-mediated metabolic stress to ABC formation in SLE. One-sentence summarySmall EV-associated miR-1285-3p in SLE promotes ABC differentiation by suppressing OXPHOS and relieving IKZF2-mediated restraint.

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SLE Monocyte Subsets Are Pro-Inflammatory and Display Dysregulated Metabolism in Response to Bacterial Stimuli

Murphy, F. K.; Yennemadi, A. S.; Quidwai, S.; Jordan, N.; Leisching, G.

2026-05-18 immunology 10.64898/2026.05.14.725094 medRxiv
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Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is associated with infection susceptibility and altered innate immune function. Monocyte metabolism is linked to appropriate cytokine release and bacterial containment. We investigated cytokine production and metabolic programming in the monocyte population from SLE patients and healthy controls following lipopolysaccharide (LPS) stimulation. SLE monocytes displayed increased IL-10, TNF, and IL-8 production, with impaired IL-1{beta} induction. Metabolic profiling revealed altered substrate use, with increased glucose dependence and reduced fatty acid and amino acid oxidation after LPS stimulation. SLE patients exhibited reduced numbers of classical monocytes, expansion of intermediate monocytes, and dysregulated subset-specific metabolic reprogramming in response to LPS. This descriptive study provides a cornerstone for (i) understanding infection susceptibility in SLE, (ii) subset-resolved immunometabolic profiling as a tool in autoimmunity, and (iii) developing future metabolic-targeted therapeutic strategies HighlightsO_LIDescriptive mapping shows SLE monocytes are proinflammatory with glucose dependence after LPS C_LIO_LIClassical and intermediate SLE subsets show divergent baseline metabolic preferences versus healthy C_LIO_LISLE subsets display aberrant LPS responses, i.e.. increased glucose and reduced fatty acid oxidation C_LIO_LIThis study provides a cornerstone for subset-resolved immunometabolism in infection susceptibility. C_LI

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Comorbidities and disability trajectories in multiple sclerosis: A two-cohort study using multi-state Markov models

Hu, C.; Zhu, W.; Watterson, A.; Morini, S.; Morris, M.; Visweswaran, S.; Chang, J.; Cai, T.; Chitnis, T.; Xia, Z.

2026-06-01 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354451 medRxiv
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Background: Comorbidities are common in multiple sclerosis (MS) and may influence disability outcomes, but their dynamic impact on bidirectional disability transitions and long-term disability remains incompletely understood. Better understanding of this longitudinal relationship could inform personalized disability management strategies for people with MS. Methods: We leveraged two large electronic health record (EHR)-linked MS registries and applied multi-state Markov models (MSMs) to examine the extent to which individual comorbidities and overall comorbidity burden were associated with short-term disability transitions, long-term disability transition probabilities, and expected time spent in each disability state. We additionally compared MSM-based predictions of confirmed disability worsening (CDW) with Cox proportional hazards (CoxPH) model-based predictions using the integrated Brier score with bootstrap validation. Results: Among 3,723 patients with MS (74.6% female; 86.2% non-Hispanic White; mean age=41.9 years; mean disease duration=5.4 years) contributing 41,860 disability assessments over a mean follow-up of 7.3 years, higher cardiometabolic and psychiatric comorbidity burden was associated with increased transition intensity toward worse disability states and decreased transition intensity toward improvement, with a stepwise gradient across burden levels. Compared with patients without comorbidities, those with [&ge;]4 comorbidities had a 28% higher risk of worsening (HR=1.28 [1.06, 1.55]) and a 20% lower risk of improvement (HR=0.80 [0.67, 0.95]). Each individual comorbidity was significantly associated with worse disability transitions. Long-term estimates indicated a higher 5-year probability of severe disability and fewer years spent in the no-disability state among patients with greater comorbidity burden. CoxPH models showed directionally consistent associations but lower predictive accuracy for CDW compared with MSMs. Conclusion: Cardiometabolic and psychiatric comorbidities are associated with worse disability trajectories in MS, reducing improvement and accelerating progression. By providing a nuanced framework to quantify short-term disability transitions and long-term disability patterns, MSMs may have real-world clinical utility in disability prediction.

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Tryptophan pathway metabotypes associate with disease activity and immune-metabolic dysfunction in inflammatory bowel disease

Harris, D. M. M.; Bourgonje, A. R.; Braadland, P. R.; McShane, C.; Welz, L.; Waschina, S.; Ibing, S.; Tran, F.; Sands, B. E.; Dubinsky, M.; Suarez-Farinas, M.; Ueland, P. M.; McCann, A.; Detlie, T. E.; Bengtson, M.-B.; Kristensen, V.; Franke, A.; Colombel, J.-F.; Rosenstiel, P.; Croitoru, K.; Sokol, H.; Turpin, W.; Hov, J. R.; Hoivik, M. L.; Ungaro, R. C.; Schreiber, S.; Aden, K.

2026-05-04 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.05.03.26352309 medRxiv
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BackgroundTryptophan (Trp) metabolism is a central immunometabolic axis in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and has been linked to inflammatory activity and immune regulation. While individual Trp metabolites have been associated with disease severity and treatment response, systems-level frameworks to define metabolic subtypes in IBD are lacking. ObjectiveTo identify reproducible Trp-related metabolic subtypes ("metabotypes") in IBD and assess their association with disease activity, clinical outcomes, and early disease development. DesignWe applied unsupervised clustering to serum concentrations of 16 Trp-related metabolites in a discovery cohort of patients with IBD undergoing biologic induction therapy (n=134). Metabotypes were validated in three independent IBD cohorts (total n>2,800), a healthy reference population, and a prospective cohort of first-degree relatives at risk for Crohns disease. Associations with disease activity, longitudinal outcomes, and metabolic pathways were assessed using multivariable regression and survival analysis. ResultsFour reproducible metabotypes with distinct metabolite profiles were identified across cohorts: Low Kyna, High Kyna, High Quin, and Balanced. Low Kyna and High Quin metabotypes were consistently associated with increased inflammatory activity and adverse clinical outcomes, including increased risk of treatment escalation and disease progression. Pathway-level analyses revealed alterations in NAD-related, lipid, and amino acid pathways between inflammatory metabotypes. A metabotype resembling inflammatory disease states was enriched in individuals who later developed Crohns disease in a prospective pre-disease cohort. ConclusionTrp-linked metabotypes define reproducible immunometabolic states in IBD that associate with disease activity and clinical outcomes and may precede disease onset. These findings provide a framework for metabolic stratification and biomarker-guided clinical trials targeting immunometabolic pathways. What is already known on this topicTryptophan metabolism through the kynurenine pathway is a central immunometabolic axis in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and has been linked to inflammatory activity and immune regulation. Individual tryptophan metabolites have been associated with disease severity and treatment response, but their clinical utility for patient stratification remains limited. Systems-level approaches to define clinically meaningful metabolic subtypes in IBD are lacking. What this study addsWe identify four reproducible tryptophan-related metabolic subtypes ("metabotypes") that are consistently associated with disease activity across multiple independent IBD cohorts. Inflammation-associated metabotypes show distinct pathway-level alterations, including differences in NAD-related metabolism and broader metabolic programs. A metabotype resembling inflammatory disease states is detectable before clinical diagnosis in individuals who later develop Crohns disease. How this study might affect research, practice or policyMetabotype-based classification provides a framework for molecular stratification of patients in mechanistic studies and clinical trials targeting immunometabolic pathways. This approach may support biomarker-guided monitoring of disease activity and disease progression in IBD. Identification of preclinical metabolic states highlights the potential of metabolomics for early disease detection and prevention-oriented research strategies.

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Dysregulation of anti-Ro60 B cell autoreactivity in systemic lupus erythematosus

Sanz, I.; Rahaman, O.; Castrillon, C.; Bugrovsky, R.; Das, R.; Ghimire, M.; Van, T. T. P.; Lin, M.; Usman, S.; Amoss, T.; Arora, A. A.; Khosroshahi, A.; Lee, F. E.-H.

2026-05-13 immunology 10.64898/2026.05.08.723865 medRxiv
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To understand the dysregulation of autoreactive B cells in SLE, we tracked Ro60-specific cells in seropositive (SP) and seronegative (SN) patients and healthy donors (HD), using flow cytometry and monoclonal antibodies. Consistent with permissive central tolerance, Ro60+ naive B cells were present in all groups with increased anergy in HD. HD and SN SLE also had greatly decreased or absent Ro60+ memory and ASC, which were greatly increased in active SP SLE, thereby indicating defective distal tolerance in the latter group. Notably, Ro60 autoreactivity was strictly purged from naive-derived extra-follicular B cells in HD and SN SLE, but expanded in SP SLE, suggesting the importance of autoreactivity censoring in this pathway. SLE clustering of the distribution of Ro60+ B cells identified disease heterogeneity in tolerance enforcement in SLE. Finally, we demonstrate a much higher degree of polyreactivity against other lupus antigens in SLE Ro60+ naive cells, which is greatly attenuated in memory cells. Our work represents the first systematic study of antigen-specific autoreactive B cells and ASC in SLE. It enhances our understanding of human B cell tolerance and defines new approaches to measuring autoimmune activity in the course of SLE, including the assessment of immune resetting after B cell depletion therapies.

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Detecting change-points in preclinical rheumatoid arthritis biomarkers using Bayesian multivariate segmented regression

Wolde, Y. F.; Jensen, A. M.; Wagner, B. D.; Edison, J. D.; Feser, M. L.; Mahler, M.; Deane, K. D.; Josey, K. P.

2026-05-25 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353892 medRxiv
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Background: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) has a preclinical period characterised by elevations in serum autoantibodies. Identifying the timing and magnitude of autoantibody trajectory changes may inform screening strategies and preventative interventions. Methods: Using a Bayesian multivariate segmented regression, we jointly modelled longitudinal autoantibody trajectories from two Department of Defense Serum Repository cohorts (Sample A: 209 matched case-control pairs, 1566 samples, six biomarkers; Sample B: 309 cases with two matched controls each, 2758 samples, eight biomarkers). Change-points and magnitudes of change were estimated simultaneously under a multivariate likelihood with an unstructured residual correlation matrix. Results: In Sample A, five of six biomarkers exhibited pre-diagnostic trajectory shifts with 95% highest posterior density intervals excluding zero. RF-IgM demonstrated the earliest change-point at 8.10 years before diagnosis (95% HPDI: -10.47, -5.73), followed by ACPA-IgG at 7.43 years (95% HPDI: -9.33, -5.76). In Sample B, only the four IgG isotypes showed pre-diagnostic shifts, with anti-CCP3 (IgG) earliest at 7.00 years (95% HPDI: -8.48, -5.29). A composite metric integrating timing and magnitude reordered rankings. Conclusions: This Bayesian framework enables simultaneous estimation of change-points and magnitudes across correlated autoantibodies while fully characterising uncertainty, offering a complementary approach to prior divergence-based methods for understanding preclinical RA autoimmunity.

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Pre-admission polypharmacy burden and intensive care unit outcomes in patients with sepsis: A retrospective cohort study using the MIMIC-IV-ED linked database

Haque, F.; Hasan, M.

2026-05-15 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.05.12.26352808 medRxiv
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Purpose: Polypharmacy is highly prevalent among critically ill patients, yet it's independent impact on intensive care unit (ICU) outcomes in sepsis remains critically unexplored. We aimed to evaluate whether pre-admission polypharmacy independently predicts ICU mortality and provides incremental prognostic value using the medication reconciliation module of the MIMIC-IV-ED linked database. Materials and Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 3,347 adults admitted to the ICU who met Sepsis-3 criteria. Pre-admission polypharmacy was categorized as none (0-4), standard (5-9), or high (>=10 medications). Multivariable logistic regression, propensity score matching, and reclassification analyses (NRI/IDI) were performed. The primary outcome was in-hospital ICU mortality. Results: High polypharmacy was present in 58.9% of patients. Crude ICU mortality increased sequentially: 18.5% (none), 26.0% (standard), and 27.5% (high; p < 0.001). After multivariable adjustment, high polypharmacy independently predicted in-hospital ICU mortality (aOR 1.45, 95% CI (1.10-1.91)), and 28-day mortality (aOR 1.47). Drug-class analysis identified statins as significantly protective (aOR 0.56), whereas RAS blockers combined with diuretics increased acute kidney injury risk (aOR 1.49). Propensity matching confirmed the primary mortality association (matched aOR 1.28). Conclusions: By utilizing the ED medication reconciliation table, this study proves high polypharmacy represents a distinct 'pharmacologic frailty', independent of acute severity. Available instantly at triage, this zero-latency metric provides significant early prognostic value (SOFA NRI = 0.24) and identifies actionable high-risk interactions (e.g., RAS blockers plus diuretics) for immediate, targeted pharmacist-led intervention upon ICU admission.

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Peri Operative deLta rEnin ConcentrATion (POLECAT) Study Protocol and Analysis Plan

Boyer, N.; Haider, S.; Piercy, C.; Zarbock, A.; Samuels, T. L.; Papadopoulou, A.; Forni, L. G.; Creagh Brown, B.

2026-05-27 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26352884 medRxiv
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Background: Post-operative hypotension and vasoplegia are well recognised following cardiac surgery but remain poorly characterised after major non-cardiac surgery, despite associations with acute kidney injury (AKI), cardiovascular complications, and increased mortality. Dysregulation of the renin angiotensin aldosterone system (RAAS) may underpin haemodynamic instability in this setting, yet data in abdominal surgery are limited. Objectives: The POLECAT (Perioperative delta Renin) study aims to determine whether changes in circulating renin concentration (delta renin) from pre-operative baseline to the early post-operative period are associated with post-operative vasoplegia in patients undergoing major abdominal surgery requiring intensive care admission. Methods: POLECAT is a single-centre, prospective observational study conducted at a UK tertiary referral hospital. Adult patients undergoing planned or emergency abdominopelvic surgery with anticipated intensive care admission are enrolled. Blood samples are obtained pre-operatively, within four hours post-operatively, and on post-operative day one to measure renin and a panel of endothelial, renal, and immune biomarkers. The primary outcome is post-operative vasoplegia, defined as the requirement for a vasopressor infusion at 08:00 on post-operative day one. Secondary outcomes include alternative vasoplegia definitions, AKI (KDIGO criteria), vasopressor burden, organ dysfunction, cardiovascular complications, length of stay, and mortality. Multivariable regression, receiver operating characteristic analyses, and predefined subgroup analyses will be performed, with sensitivity analyses addressing missing data. Conclusions: This study will clarify the relationship between peri-operative RAAS dysfunction and vasoplegia following major abdominal surgery. Findings may support biomarker-guided risk stratification and inform future interventional trials targeting haemodynamic instability in this high-risk population.

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Widespread Hyperalgesia Predicts Mortality in Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma

Faghih, M.; Damm, M.; Kassik, M.-T.; Cheesman, L.; Rauschenberg, S.; Olesen, S. S.; Laheru, D. A.; Zheng, L.; Phillips, A. E.; Yadav, D.; Drewes, A. M.; Rosendahl, J.; Singh, V. K.; International Pancreatic Pain Consortium,

2026-05-27 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353594 medRxiv
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Pain in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is associated with poor survival, but whether altered pain processing carries prognostic significance is unknown. We analyzed a prospective cohort of 143 patients with PDAC who underwent pancreatic quantitative sensory testing (PQST) after diagnosis. Patients were classified as having normal pain processing (n=84), segmental hyperalgesia (n=30), or widespread hyperalgesia (n=29). Survival was measured from the date of P-QST assessment. During follow-up, 70 deaths occurred. Widespread hyperalgesia was associated with increased mortality in unadjusted Cox analysis (HR 1.96, 95% CI 1.14,3.35) and after adjustment for age, sex, tumor stage, comorbidity, opioid treatment, and body mass index (adjusted HR 2.33, 95% CI 1.30,4.15). Segmental hyperalgesia was not associated with mortality. Kaplan Meier analysis demonstrated lower survival probability in the widespread hyperalgesia group (log rank p=0.025). These findings suggest that widespread hyperalgesia, reflecting altered central pain processing, identifies a subgroup of PDAC patients at increased risk of mortality independent of conventional clinical factors.

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Liver-to-Atria Inflammatory Axis Driving Arrhythmia

Yuan, Y.; Wang, S.; Ding, J.; Jiang, J.; Zeng, Y.; Li, T.; Shinohara, A. K.; Lin, C.; Sun, C.; Hoogeveen, R. C.; Chelu, M. G.; Saadatagah, S.; Jung, S. Y.; Olivares-Villagomez, D.; Ballantyne, C. M.; Dong, B.; Li, N.

2026-05-20 systems biology 10.64898/2026.05.19.726408 medRxiv
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BackgroundMetabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is emerging as a risk factor of cardiometabolic diseases, including the atrial fibrillation (AF) - the most common sustained arrhythmia. Given that the liver is a major source of inflammatory mediators, lipids, and hepatokines under metabolic stress, we hypothesized that hepatocyte-derived factors in MASH may accelerate atrial remodeling and arrhythmogenesis. MethodsAnalysis of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) visit 5 cohort was performed to determine the association between the FIB-4 index - a classic indicator of liver fibrosis, and AF risk, with multivariable adjustment for common comorbidities. A murine model of MASH was induced using the GAN (Gubra-Amylin NASH) diet. Programmed intracardiac stimulation and echocardiography were performed to assess AF susceptibility and cardiac function. Calcium imaging, histology, flow cytometry, plasma proteomics, and single-nucleus RNA sequencing (snRNA-seq) analyses were employed to elucidate the role of recruited inflammatory macrophages via hepatocyte-derived osteopontin (OPN) in MASH-induced atrial remodeling. ResultsAnalysis of the ARIC cohort confirmed a higher cumulative incidence of AF and an elevated adjusted hazard ratio (HR) in patients with intermediate and high FIB-4 indices compared to individuals with low FIB-4 scores. MASH mice exhibited increased susceptibility to pacing-induced AF, accompanied by enhanced proarrhythmic calcium release events, atrial enlargement, and fibrosis, independent of ventricular dysfunction. Proteomics and snRNA-seq revealed that the hepatocyte-secreted OPN under MASH conditions promoted the differentiation and recruitment of TGFBR1+ inflammatory macrophages to the atria, leading to gasdermin D (GSDMD) activation - an effector of inflammasome signaling and consequent proarrhythmic atrial remodeling. Activation of the monocyte-derived pro-inflammatory TGFBR1+ macrophages was dependent on the OPN receptor CD44. Furthermore, the MASH-induced atrial fibroinflammatory milieu and enhanced AF susceptibility were mitigated through several strategies, including hepatocyte-specific Spp1 (encoding OPN) deletion, neutralization of circulating OPN, ablation of CD44 or GSDMD. ConclusionsThese findings establish a pathogenic role of the hepatokine osteopontin in driving activation and recruitment of TGFBR1+ inflammatory macrophages into the atria, leading to proarrhythmic atrial remodeling under MASH. Osteopontin-targeted therapy or GSDMD inhibition prevents AF, indicating a novel therapeutic strategy for liver disease-related atrial arrhythmogenesis. Clinical PerspectiveO_ST_ABSWhat is new?C_ST_ABSO_LIIn the ARIC cohort, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is associated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) after adjusting for common comorbidities. Elevated levels of circulating osteopontin (encoded by SPP1) predict an increased risk of AF in patients with MASH-induced liver fibrosis. C_LIO_LIMASH enhances hepatocyte secretion of osteopontin, leading to expansion of myeloid cells and recruitment of inflammatory macrophages into atria. This liver-to-atrial inflammatory circuit promotes the development of a substrate conducive to AF, which can be attenuated by hepatocyte-specific Spp1 deletion or neutralizing anti-anti-osteopontin antibody treatment to eliminate the mediator, or ablation of inflammasome effector gasdermin D to correct the atrial response. C_LI What are the clinical implications?O_LIOsteopontin may serve as a biomarker for AF in MASH cohorts. C_LIO_LIAnti-osteopontin therapy through neutralizing antibodies may serve as a novel therapeutic strategy for liver disease-related atrial arrhythmia. C_LI

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Development and Validation of Machine Learning Models for Predicting Mortality in Hospitalised Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Patients in Dr. Sardjito Hospital, Indonesia Machine Learning Prediction of In-Hospital Mortality in SLE

Paramaiswari, A.; Nugroho, D. B.

2026-05-04 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.05.01.26352268 medRxiv
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ObjectivesThis study aimed to develop and validate machine learning models to predict in-hospital mortality among systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients using administrative claims data in a tertiary referral center in Indonesia. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study of 327 SLE hospital admissions between January 2019 and June 2025. Predictor variables included demographics, hospitalisation characteristics, and the ten most frequent comorbidities. We developed Logistic Regression, Random Forest, and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) models. Class imbalance was addressed using the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique. ResultsThe overall in-hospital mortality rate was 7.7%. While models achieved comparable discrimination (Area Under the Curve ~0.71), XGBoost was selected for its superior sensitivity (0.93) compared to Logistic Regression (0.80) and Random Forest (0.97). Feature importance analysis revealed pneumonia as the most significant predictor, followed by acute kidney failure and length of stay. Hypoalbuminemia and hyponatremia were also identified as key prognostic markers. ConclusionsMachine learning models utilising registry-based administrative data effectively stratify mortality risk in hospitalised SLE patients with high sensitivity. The dominance of pneumonia and renal failure as predictors underscores the critical need for aggressive infection control and renal monitoring in this population.

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PRV-101 Coxsackievirus B vaccine elicits protective T follicular helper immunity while avoiding cytotoxic T-cell responses in humans: implications for type 1 diabetes prevention

Vecchio, F.; Petit, M.; Burgos-Morales, O.; Laiho, J. E.; Scheinin, M.; Knip, M.; Leon, F.; Sanjuan, M.; Hyoty, H.; You, S.; Mallone, R.

2026-05-26 allergy and immunology 10.64898/2026.05.19.26352997 medRxiv
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PRV-101 is a multivalent formalin-inactivated Coxsackievirus B (CVB) vaccine developed to prevent CVB infections, which are associated with increased risk of islet autoimmunity. While PRV-101 induces robust neutralizing antibody responses, its T-cell immunogenicity is unknown. We analyzed peripheral blood mononuclear cells from 25 healthy adults receiving three high or low PRV-101 doses or placebo in a Phase I randomized, placebo-controlled trial. CVB-reactive CD8 T-cell responses were assessed using HLA Class I multimers, and CD4 and T follicular helper (Tfh) responses were measured by activation-induced marker assays following stimulation with a CVB peptide library. PRV-101 elicited minimal CVB-reactive CD8 T-cell responses but robust CD4 and Tfh responses, peaking at week 12 and persisting through week 32. Responses were observed in both seronegative and seropositive individuals, consistent with effective immune priming and boosting. Tfh frequencies correlated with neutralizing antibody titers. Female participants exhibited higher peak Tfh responses than males. We conclude that PRV-101 elicits a CVB-protective immune profile, dominated by Tfh responses supporting durable humoral immunity and devoid of potentially diabetogenic cytotoxic T-cell responses. This profile invites further investigations in vaccine trials for type 1 diabetes prevention.